Bloomberg Businessweek Weekend: November 7th, 2025 - Episode Artwork
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Bloomberg Businessweek Weekend: November 7th, 2025

In this special edition of Bloomberg Businessweek, host Caroline Hepker discusses highlights from the Schwab Impact 2025 event, featuring insights from industry leaders like Schwab CEO Rick Worcester....

Bloomberg Businessweek Weekend: November 7th, 2025
Bloomberg Businessweek Weekend: November 7th, 2025
Business • 0:00 / 0:00

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spk_0 This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily reporting from the magazine that helps global leaders stay
spk_0 ahead with insight on the people, companies and trends shaping today's complex economy.
spk_0 Plus global business, finance and tech news as it happens. Bloomberg Business Week Daily with
spk_0 Carol Maser and Tim Stenevek on Bloomberg Radio. Hi everyone, welcome to a special edition of
spk_0 Bloomberg Business Week. We are looking at some of our favorite guests from the Schwab Impact 2025
spk_0 event held this past week in Denver, Colorado. This event brings together advisors from around
spk_0 the country and those in the industry that support them with services and tools.
spk_0 Coming up, we're going to hear from some familiar names, folks like Liz Ann Saunders and Kevin
spk_0 Gordon and more. Plus look at how AI is changing the investing landscape. Yeah, we're going to talk
spk_0 about AI a lot. We begin with Schwab CEO Rick Worcester. Well, some Tealflow, Charles Schwab,
spk_0 agreeing to buy forage global holdings. It's a marketplace for buying and holding shares at
spk_0 private companies. It's about a $660 million deal. We're talking about $45 a share. That's about
spk_0 72% above the closing price on Wednesday. So delighted. I didn't expect to be talking to you so
spk_0 soon, but I'm delighted that you made time for us. Rick Worcester, of course, present CEO, Charles
spk_0 Schwab here at Impact 2025. It is your annual event for independent advisors. And I'm sure that
spk_0 they're kind of curious about this deal. Why now and why this company? Well, we're thrilled to be
spk_0 able to democratize access to private investing. This is a market that forever has been for the
spk_0 high net worth and the ultra high net worth. And when the acquisition of forage will be able to
spk_0 bring access to private companies to every investor. And so we're thrilled about that. Second,
spk_0 it continues our history of innovation. And our innovation has always centered around what can we
spk_0 do to provide more access, more opportunity to our clients so that they can grow and improve their
spk_0 net worth. So we're just thrilled about this. And forage was the was the firm we really wanted
spk_0 to work with. But a lot of speculation about this company. Yes. As you know, yes. Well, you know,
spk_0 their stock was down 90% off its highs. And at the same time, they're the leader in the private
spk_0 company marketplace. And so for us to be able to acquire the leading company that has the
spk_0 deepest relationships with the private companies and who have the stock opportunity, it's just
spk_0 phenomenal for us. Rick, was it a bit competitive? And I'm just saying about the premium that you guys
spk_0 paid. I'm thinking of was it Morgan Stanley just did a deal to buy equity's and which is another
spk_0 similar platform. So it does feel like big firms are jockeying to provide this access to their
spk_0 investors. So was there pressure to do this deal and get it done now? Well, as a public company forage
spk_0 has to run a process. And so absolutely, this was a competitive process. And they've been pretty,
spk_0 I think transparent about this. Yes. From our standpoint, though, we think we're paying a very
spk_0 reasonable price, or it's five times revenue, less than what we trade on on a revenue basis.
spk_0 And the opportunity for us in private markets is so much bigger than what we're paying for the
spk_0 company. We're paying $660 million for the company. This market could be huge. And when we bring
spk_0 our 46 million clients to this marketplace, I think the opportunity to grow our economics is
spk_0 significant. But most importantly, and why we did this deal was not about making money relative
spk_0 to the purchase price. It was about democratizing access to private investing and to helping our
spk_0 clients grow their wealth. Will this only be for accredited investors or what's the plan in terms
spk_0 of new product placement or product offerings to offer it up to the retail investor? What I'm so
spk_0 excited about is we're going to have an opportunity for every type of investor to invest in alternatives.
spk_0 With this acquisition, well, three ways that clients can invest. Today, we already have for both our
spk_0 RIAs and retail clients a menu of alternative managers, the leaders that you're aware of some of
spk_0 the big names and private equity and venture capital. That's one way our clients can invest. The
spk_0 second way is through this acquisition of Forge, which owns an asset management company. We will
spk_0 in the first quarter of next year launch an indexed fund that is an index of the 60 biggest
spk_0 private companies and any investor with any wealth, if they have interest in that, will be able to
spk_0 invest. Then third, for accredited investors, we will have a marketplace opportunity for those
spk_0 investors to buy individual private companies and invest in those companies directly. That does require
spk_0 you being an accredited investor. A couple of questions I want to ask you. How does it improve
spk_0 your ability to win more wallet share when it comes specifically to clients? We know that retail
spk_0 investors have been clamoring for more access to private markets. I think we've gone.
spk_0 Know what's not in about money? Or I know it's not about in terms of the price you paid, but it
spk_0 is about right? You want to make sure your clients are happy and they're getting all the
spk_0 offering. I'm just curious, how does it help you win more share? Over the last 10 years, we've become
spk_0 a premier destination for high net worth and alternative high net worth clients. The reason for that is
spk_0 we have a product offer that can't be matched, whether it's access to private lending capabilities
spk_0 that are straightforward, fast, efficient with great rates, wealth support on their tax trust
spk_0 and estate needs, and access to live individuals to speak to. They can walk into one of our 400
spk_0 branches all across the country, have a conversation with a real-life person about their financial needs,
spk_0 have a discussion about financial planning and what's going on in their life. We really have
spk_0 become over the last decade a premier destination for high net worth clients and this acquisition
spk_0 just adds to our capabilities. What about from your RIAs and I think about all the independent
spk_0 advisors who are here, right? This is what this event is all about. So how much does this kind of
spk_0 help them in their pitch to clients? And I'm just curious, is this to some extent in response to
spk_0 what you've been hearing from independent advisors? It absolutely is and this is a game-changer
spk_0 force in the RIA space. Today we have $5 trillion of RIA assets that we custody. 1.2% of them sit
spk_0 in alternatives. We know there's more demand. That number probably should be closer to 5, 6, or 7%,
spk_0 and with this acquisition we've now given them three different ways to get invested.
spk_0 And I expect over the coming years we'll see that 1% grow more towards the 5%. So the RIAs are thrilled.
spk_0 They've wanted us to do more in alternatives and I think with this acquisition we've nailed it.
spk_0 And you said the new client offerings it's next year. We'll see it early part of next year.
spk_0 Well, forges up and going today. So hopefully some of our clients will go find it and start getting
spk_0 invested. That's what they want to do. But when I read it. But when I'm not accredited I think about like
spk_0 yeah, we're going to launch the fund in the first quarter of next year. That's the current plan. And
spk_0 then we'll continue to roll out their services in the coming months. You know the other side of
spk_0 this rick is you know concerns about hurdles in terms of transparency and investors really
spk_0 understanding what they're buying when they tap into anything in the private markets. So are there
spk_0 any kind of hurdles that you anticipate regulatory or otherwise? That's why we really wanted to work with
spk_0 forage. Okay. Because forage is the market leader and providing robust research to clients.
spk_0 And so clients will be able to access that level of research through forage. In addition to that
spk_0 we've also stood up a team of alternative investment experts at our firm that any client can call
spk_0 and talk to about you know question they have about a type of alternative or a particular investment
spk_0 that they want to make. And so we really are trying to do everything we can to support clients.
spk_0 This is a great opportunity for clients to be diversified to grow their wealth in a new asset class.
spk_0 But at the same time we want to make sure we do everything we can that they for them to be able to
spk_0 do this in a thoughtful well researched way. Is there a company you're most excited about that's
spk_0 on the forage platform or that might be on the forage platform at some point I mean there's
spk_0 opening. There's an orthographic. Is there any company that you're really excited about? There's
spk_0 not a particular one I'm interested in but I am thrilled that there are a lot of people on our
spk_0 platform and a lot of people that listen to your show that are active in markets and they they
spk_0 want to get into cracking because they love crypto or they love you on musk and want to get into
spk_0 SpaceX so that's big sex is another one. I think that's what's so interesting is that we find a
spk_0 lot of our investors do have these passions and now they're going to be able to invest in them
spk_0 through through private companies. So we know you took over in January this is your first deal. Is
spk_0 there more M&A to come like how are you thinking about what else you need to bring under the Schwab
spk_0 but with 46 million clients on our platform we have an incredible opportunity to continue to
spk_0 add capabilities to serve and meet more of their financial life. The average 50 or older than 50
spk_0 year old client has seven financial services relationships in their life so we want to add more
spk_0 and more capabilities so they can handle more of their financial life at Schwab and as we add
spk_0 those capabilities we'll either build them we can partner or we can buy and so we'll look at all
spk_0 three of those but we want to round out our capabilities and do everything we can to stand behind
spk_0 our clients and make a difference in their financial life. I just want last question mostly small
spk_0 probably tackles I mean you guys already have digested a large company some just curious or could
spk_0 it be a pretty significant an ideal. You know it's going to depend when again we'll look at
spk_0 build by partner based on what capabilities we want to add but I think we're open to just
spk_0 about anything we want to grow our company we want to do the best job we can serve in clients we
spk_0 want to make a difference in their lives and if there's a company or capability out there that we
spk_0 can add to our platform that's going to make a difference we're going to do it. Well the market
spk_0 environment right now we want to dive right in there because really this week we've heard from
spk_0 different Wall Street executives that an overdue collection of Wade on the market this week so
spk_0 reduced expectations for FedRate cuts a prolonged government shutdown Michael Burry added to the
spk_0 negative tone with his disclosure of various wages on talent here and in video how do you see
spk_0 today's environment and sort of this reward perspective. We try to focus our clients on the long
spk_0 term I think that owning securities and assets over long periods of time will generally go up.
spk_0 It's really hard to get the timing of markets down because you have to make two correct calls.
spk_0 First you got to nail it to get out at the at the right time which is really hard in a
spk_0 in the strength of the kind of market we've had in the momentum we've had to get out at the
spk_0 right times incredibly hard and then you've got to be able to get back in at the right time or you
spk_0 miss out. I was down in Charlotte, North Carolina, business with some clients and I heard from one
spk_0 client who back in 2016 didn't like the presidential administration and so had sold out of stocks
spk_0 and this was back when we were having a pullback and they said would now be a good time to get
spk_0 to get back in the market and it sat out a huge amount of gains over a short term point of view.
spk_0 We try to have clients avoid that. If clients can stay in the market and tolerate some volatility
spk_0 we think over the long run that gets rewarded because it is so hard to call the markets both
spk_0 when to get out and when to get back in. So as you walk around the floor and you're talking to
spk_0 advisors I mean what are they talking about you know in terms of timely advice that you're getting
spk_0 maybe from the advisors and what they are kind of caring from their clients. I think one of the
spk_0 most pressing topics from investors today is how to navigate concentrated positions.
spk_0 The S&P's as concentrated as it's ever been. Right. The MAG7, the big tech. Yes and it's created
spk_0 tremendous wealth for lots of retail investors and now they're wondering how to diversify their
spk_0 portfolio and to do so in a way to minimize their tax burden and there's all kinds of strategies
spk_0 that they can work with their advisor on to create a more diversified portfolio without having to
spk_0 pay a tremendous amount in capital gains. How hard is it though that when clients are like but why would
spk_0 I want to get out of Nvidia when I've seen what they've been doing for how many years. Like how
spk_0 tough is that because we constantly have conversations of people saying it's time to you know
spk_0 broaden out back off the big tech and then it's the big tech with so much momentum. Well you're
spk_0 absolutely right and it's a really hard conversation to have and oftentimes we don't win it but we
spk_0 want to make sure the client is cognizant of of the risk and the choice that they're making. Yeah and
spk_0 to be fair to those investors they've been right by sticking with their concentrated position
spk_0 for the most part because the names that have driven the market higher have been the same ones here
spk_0 for a while and so many people have stuck with it and they are sitting on more gains and they might
spk_0 have anticipated. So let's go further into the retail trader because they've grown about 20% of the
spk_0 US equity market today. I'm curious about sentiment trends. Like how the structure of this trend,
spk_0 how resilient are retail traders in an eventual downturn? Why do retail traders have been the ones
spk_0 leading the market higher and have been the ones buying the dips and I think they were out actually
spk_0 in many ways out ahead of the institutional buyers and so I think you have a retail buyer that
spk_0 has strong hands and and we'll stick through the market so we'll see how it all plays out but
spk_0 markets go up and down and retail investors will inevitably you know make some decisions in
spk_0 there for it that's best for them. That's Rick Worcester, president and CEO of Schwab. Coming up more
spk_0 from our conversations at the Schwab Impact 2025 event in Denver, Colorado. Up next we hear from
spk_0 Schwab Chief Investment Strategist Lizanne Saunders on what she expects in markets for the rest of the year.
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spk_0 This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily with Carol Masser and Tim Stenevek on Bloomberg Radio.
spk_0 We are back here on a special edition of Bloomberg Business Week. It's all about some of the
spk_0 highlights from Schwab Impact 2025. It was held this past week in Denver, Colorado. It's all about
spk_0 bringing together financial advisors from around the country, those in the industry too that support
spk_0 them with various application services and tools. And up next we hear from a voice that has followed
spk_0 financial markets Tim for a long, long time. Our conversation on markets with Schwab,
spk_0 Chief Investment Strategist Liz Ann Saunders.
spk_0 I'm so glad you're hearing. Thank you. Welcome to our cozy little event.
spk_0 A 5,000 people? It's not cozy and it's not little but we are happy to be here. It's a huge event.
spk_0 It was huge last year in San Francisco. It was huge. Before that I'm Philadelphia. You were shaking
spk_0 your head when I was saying everything is awesome. Why? Well it's a bit of a tale of two markets.
spk_0 You've got cap-weighted index returns and the lack of any significant downside, particularly since
spk_0 the April 8 closing low. But here's an example. The average member within the S&P just since April 8
spk_0 has had a 16 percent, now actually 17 percent drawdown. The average member within the NASDAQ since
spk_0 April 8 when the NASDAQ's up 50-some odd percent has had a average maximum drawdown of 36. So
spk_0 the breadth isn't there but there's a lot of churn and rotation going on under the surface that you
spk_0 don't pick up if you're only looking at the index level returns. Are we starting to see signs
spk_0 where investors are kind of questioning some of the valuations that are out there, the AI
spk_0 spend and whether we're getting the return on investment on it. Tell us what you're thinking.
spk_0 I think the margin of error has narrowed a bit. There's obviously sensitivity whether it is
spk_0 diminishing in return on investment capital, whether you're seeing pressure on margins. Obviously the
spk_0 concern about the circularity of financing and the fact that so far this is a real thing.
spk_0 It is a real thing. We are kind of blown away what feels like it's all in the family.
spk_0 Yeah, here's $5 billion so you can buy $5 billion with the stuff from us.
spk_0 Right. You guys, Bloomberg had this incredible visual that I think made it on Michael Burry's
spk_0 post. I think it's. Yes, but that is such a great visual. I've seen more simplistic ones of a
spk_0 power strip with the plug plugged into the power strip. Yeah, but that's exactly true, right?
spk_0 And I think the boom so far has been financed out of cash flows. It's been largely equity
spk_0 finance, but now you've got as to just pick up, pick on the Mag 7 cohort. Mag 7 free cash flow
spk_0 has gone from more than 60% year over year six quarters ago to now two quarters in a row of
spk_0 negative. And so you're starting to see more deals financed with that. That's not necessarily
spk_0 a bad thing. It's just a different environment. But that I do want met an alphabet, right?
spk_0 Didn't they just recently do it over? Subscribe? Like there's lots of investor interests, but I do
spk_0 like I don't know is what we just have to keep an eye on either way. Yeah, I think in evaluation
spk_0 is a tough one. I think valuations and I'm going to say this generally not just specific to AI
spk_0 stocks or Mag 7. It's not a market timing tool. It's more it's more a temperature gauge than it is
spk_0 a timing gauge. It's almost an indicator of sentiment. There are times where valuations can get
spk_0 stretched and they can get more ridiculously stretched and the market still has a long runway ahead
spk_0 of it. So I think it represents some of the angst that's coming into the narrative right now,
spk_0 but it doesn't necessarily pretend impending doom. It's just a it's a cost saver AI and it boosts
spk_0 margins. So we had we had the early focus solely on the hyperscalers and the chips and then more
spk_0 recently it's gone into the energy usage and the data centers. Now I think where you're actually
spk_0 getting meat on the bones in terms of productivity statistics in terms of the beneficial to cost
spk_0 is is the users of AI and I think that is likely to continue. But then does it create this
spk_0 destructive element in our society as a result of those entry level jobs, those white collar
spk_0 jobs, those blue collar jobs that ended up being completely eliminated? I mean I know we're talking
spk_0 about a future that none of us can see, but we had an interesting conversation with David Weston
spk_0 last week and he was basically like how do we have the this payoff without the money savings
spk_0 from getting rid of all these employees basically? I think that we're in a moment of creative
spk_0 destruction to to quote, chapter. And that happens anytime we have a major innovation or we've
spk_0 shifted our economy from being an ag economy to industrial industrial to innovation. That happens.
spk_0 But ultimately new types of jobs are created. I actually think that companies that don't adopt AI
spk_0 are going to have more job losses. I think what we need to bring in is what AI doesn't yet
spk_0 provide and maybe won't ever, you know the seeds, creativity, culture, and community and connection
spk_0 context. So I think they're still, I still think AI, yes it is replacing certain kinds of jobs,
spk_0 but I think it's replacing tasks more than it's replacing full occupations. But I think workers
spk_0 have to adapt to it and adopt it and bring it into their lives or they will let be left behind.
spk_0 You know I pulled up my phone because someone came up to us and Dwayne who is a financial advisor,
spk_0 he's here and he said you guys did something on AI. I said you. I did. You did something. I
spk_0 didn't invent and we had somebody who showed how to use AI and he said after that I went home and
spk_0 started playing which I cheaply. This was a panel you did at this conference last year in San Francisco.
spk_0 No, it wasn't. No, I don't think so. Okay, well it was something. But anyway, there's a lot of
spk_0 separate. But but what he said is he was able to ask you questions, do analytics so much faster,
spk_0 it was accurate and he said it just took less time and I actually produced better returns for
spk_0 my clients which was pretty cool stuff. It is a game changer but the hallucination rates are
spk_0 still high enough. They're low school digits but high enough that I think it was Gene Munster.
spk_0 I he spoke right before me at a recent conference who who said you know LLMs are like an intern.
spk_0 They do a lot of the work for you but you kind of have to check their work. Get a keep an eye on them.
spk_0 Next six to 12 months, what do you think the investment environment looks like? I think these
spk_0 bifurcations that have pervaded the economy, even the inflation data and obviously the stock market.
spk_0 I don't see a convergence to any significant degree. I think you're going to still see those
spk_0 bifurcations whether it's from a CapEx perspective AI or non-AI asset owners versus non-asset owners,
spk_0 high income consumers versus low income consumers, tariffed impact, goods versus non-tariffed
spk_0 impact, goods from an inflation standpoint and then obviously all those bifurcations.
spk_0 What I would watch for that may be interesting is we could have a situation where if some of the
spk_0 mega cap names, some of the leadership names continue to have some sort of pullback phase,
spk_0 watch what the rest of the market does. I don't think it's going to be extreme as late 2022
spk_0 but what was interesting about that low in October of 2022 relative to the low prior to that
spk_0 June of 2022 is that when you had the real crush there was greater participation under the
spk_0 surface. That's what you want to look for. That Schwab Chief Investment Strategist, Liz Ann Saunders.
spk_0 We turn now to our conversation with Schwab's Jelena Kerr, head of advisor experience and
spk_0 well solutions. My world is responsible for all things digital and investment products,
spk_0 banking solutions and how you harness those together and help advisors I extend them into their
spk_0 client base especially the ultra-high net worth client. Who demand a lot of that? A lot.
spk_0 I was shocked to see you've been at Schwab for more than 30 years. I'm an old timer.
spk_0 You are on the advisor services trading desks. The role of an advisor 30 years ago versus now.
spk_0 I mean those are like two different jobs. Bastley different. What are the expectations right now
spk_0 versus what they were 30 years ago? The expectations are frankly a little overwhelming due to the
spk_0 complexity of AI technology trying to figure out how to scale your business and still serve your clients.
spk_0 Those two things don't always just flow together seamlessly. Right. And so the demands on advisors
spk_0 to really understand all the solutions that are out there I think can can get overwhelmed.
spk_0 And it gets overwhelming for me and I do it every day in my day to day job. So I think just their
spk_0 ability to think and learn on their feet as they're talking a different client who have different
spk_0 needs because that customization trend is no joke either. Does AI help with customization or does AI
spk_0 help you in your world at all? AI does help us in our world. We are taking it more from an
spk_0 internal view right now. So think about our service professionals trying to enable them making sure
spk_0 they serve advisors. We've got a knowledge assistant that's powered by AI note taking those
spk_0 sorts of basic tasks we are using in-house and we are working with advisors to make sure they know
spk_0 what's out there and how they can take advantage of it in a safe way. You want to measure twice cut
spk_0 once. So yeah we still find our way. What about alternatives? This is not a world that 30 years ago
spk_0 you know people were thinking about private credit, venture capital, private equity in their
spk_0 portfolios. Now it's like what that's table stakes. It's no longer high yield as being like kind of
spk_0 something out there. It's very different. It is and all to our huge part of that. I think some of
spk_0 the complexity though is how do you connect the alt to the rest of the portfolio? If you've got a 60-40
spk_0 yeah. Alt have a role to play there but it's not very seamless or operationally sound at this point.
spk_0 What do they want in terms of alternative? I mean when we think about alternatives we think about
spk_0 real estate. We think about some hard assets. I'm just curious though in a world where crypto is a
spk_0 it seems like nonstop that people have talked about for the last few years. What do they want in terms
spk_0 of alternatives? It really runs the gamut. I mean I don't want to give you a an answer that's not
spk_0 a non-answer but in a way when you think about some advisors who are just really wanting to start
spk_0 inserting it but they want to do it in a very well-known name way. Then you've got all the other
spk_0 all the way to the other end of the spectrum advisors who are creating their own. Right.
spk_0 Alt's and leaving that into the platform but what we're most hearing is they want model flexibility
spk_0 and scale so they want to be able to pull the alt into the model. Do all the management and construction
spk_0 of all those things in an automated way and with liquid securities that's a bit of a challenge but
spk_0 we're all working through it. There's some great leadership that some of our partners are. But that's
spk_0 so important for your clients because those are sticky. Those are what cause clients not to move
spk_0 to a different RIA. That's right. Because you can't just get out of them. No, no you cannot and I think
spk_0 that's why advisors are at their heart right. Their fiduciary responsibility is to make sure
spk_0 their clients know they are a liquid. You're going to you're going to be in this for a while and
spk_0 they want to make sure they're educating their clients so that they're not hitting a point where
spk_0 the client's like oh yeah give me all that money. Sorry can't. Can't do it right now. So advisors
spk_0 have always been careful and cautious but given the fact that these have now gone from like a
spk_0 traditional 5% component of the allocation to 10 to 20 like it's growing and it's out there.
spk_0 Tulina just got about 25 30 seconds. Um, where's you walk the floor? What are you hearing from advisors
spk_0 that you're just picking up on in terms of trends with themes and just quickly? Yeah really quickly
spk_0 automation, which does tie back to the AI thing but automation of those tasks, construction
spk_0 management transactional things that are not adding value and using API connectivity to do that.
spk_0 It's table stakes yet people need help implementing them. That's Jelena Kerr. Schwab's head of
spk_0 advisor experience and wealth solutions. Coming up more from Schwab impact 2025 held earlier this
spk_0 past week. Up next we move on from equities to fixed income and here from Schwab's Kathy Jones.
spk_0 This is Bloomberg.
spk_0 This is Scarlet Foo. An up all, Swini inviting you to join us for the Bloomberg Intelligence
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spk_0 more than 2000 global companies. That is your legacy Paul and we speak to those in house experts
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spk_0 We do it all live each weekday then bring you the best conversations in our daily podcast.
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spk_0 listen. Listen in the afternoons on your way home from work to catch up on the market news you missed
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spk_0 This is Bloomberg Business Week Daily with Carol Maser and Tim Steneveck on Bloomberg Radio.
spk_0 Let's get back to some of our conversations that were this past week at the Schwab
spk_0 Impact 2025 event. It was held in Denver, Colorado. We turn now to our conversation on fixed
spk_0 income with Schwab's chief fixed income strategist, Kathy Jones. You know in general the
spk_0 the economy seems to be chugging along. Great. Okay. It's not great for everybody but in aggregate
spk_0 it's good enough. Inflation is stuck at 3% and kind of edging higher. Where do we go from here?
spk_0 You've got inflation at 3% maybe moving up at a 4% 10-year yield. You know that's that's
spk_0 equilibrium right now. We need something to change. Do you think it's going to change?
spk_0 I think in 2026 we'll probably get enough slowing growth and some easing and inflation that will
spk_0 yield come down. But I think the market was just way over its skis expecting the Fed to cut
spk_0 over and over again. And it is very difficult to forecast all the time but now between
spk_0 Neurison, Tarasov, no data policy shutdown policy making shutdown. I think the market's just kind
spk_0 of the bond market is just going to go well. We're pretty well priced. Let's just sit here and
spk_0 wait for things to happen. Well so then does that increase the chances, Kathy, you think of
spk_0 this as having a policy misstep here? It's certainly a possibility but I think my impression that I
spk_0 get from Paul and from many of the other members is look we're back to that's navigating on a
spk_0 cloudy night thing right. We don't have information. The path ahead isn't clear and we've taken a
spk_0 couple of steps. We're not restrictive anymore. So now we pause and we wait and see what happens.
spk_0 It would go slow. I'm a sailor and I've navigated at night and it can be kind of not so great.
spk_0 You can hit a rock or you could hit something because you just don't read something correctly.
spk_0 Or things can be smooth sailing. So is there a chance though that I don't like I think so many
spk_0 people are shocked that the economy is still growing and we're kind of doing all right and the
spk_0 market continues the equity market to hit eyes. Not necessarily what everybody was predicting a few
spk_0 months ago but I just do wonder what's the thing we could be missing. Well right now financial
spk_0 conditions have been very supportive. I think that's another reason the Fed can kind of wait. They're
spk_0 saying well there's no evidence that the level of interest rates is holding back the economy.
spk_0 People can borrow as much as they want. It's different housing still. Yeah maybe but I mean
spk_0 even housing starting to kind of recover because prices are adjusting. So you know what is the
spk_0 thing that gets us? It's never the thing you're looking at in the finance credit. It's the thing you
spk_0 don't know. I'm worried about the buildup of debt behind the scenes and the shadow banking system.
spk_0 Private credit? Yeah to some extent. We know that the quality isn't great there and we know that some
spk_0 some firms are struggling. So how would a crisis like that in private credit manifest?
spk_0 You know I think the issue is who's lending to the private credit folks. Don't the banks lend
spk_0 to the private credit folks? Yeah. So what's their exposure? Well we don't know you know it because
spk_0 private credit is private. Yeah it's hard to know the quality of the assets in any given day.
spk_0 Your face is really telling are you concerned that the exposure by the banks is a lot more than
spk_0 we know? I think the banks you know no. I think the banks are the major banks are fine because
spk_0 against their will they've been forced to hold a lot of capital since the the Basel rules.
spk_0 And so I think the banks are okay but it does get to be sort of a cascade right you know one thing
spk_0 leads to another leads to another and a lot of interwoven lending takes place and there's hidden leverage
spk_0 and that's where you worry about things starting to change. I don't I don't have any particular
spk_0 I mean to be on the spot I just I don't have any particular like this guy's gonna blow up
spk_0 we have a story to tell I'm just these are the ways in the past we run into trouble somebody gets
spk_0 over leverage has the crisis get out of whack. People are overconfident and then things change.
spk_0 Right. So it kind of brings us back to the Fed and how the Fed works in an environment such as
spk_0 this in an environment where it's not getting much data. We did hear from Lisa Cook this week. She
spk_0 said she sees the risk of further labor market weakness is greater than the risk of inflation. We'll
spk_0 be nervous about inflation. Who's right? Yeah well fine we'll find out. We'll find out when we
spk_0 reach our destination. Yeah you know I'm more in goals b's camp right now although the labor
spk_0 market is clearly soft and some of that is supply side right so we got the ADP numbers today
spk_0 as a positive number who's to say that that number isn't consistent with equilibrium in the
spk_0 labor market. So are these numbers accurate now because ADP is as accurate as we can we get right
spk_0 now. Yeah but when we used to get government data we used to get the ADP numbers on you know the
spk_0 day before a couple days before before I remember this world that we went on. Yeah we get a
spk_0 few earlier yeah and then we'd get the numbers from the government and they would oftentimes not
spk_0 even be close to one another. Yeah and that's true I think part of that is ADP is private sector
spk_0 only they they can include government workers so there's that discrepancy and you know yeah
spk_0 their surveys are different but it's always got to go on so we it looks like that they're picking
spk_0 back up a little bit and that's good news the ISM figures that are manufacturing figures were okay
spk_0 today with prices paid continuing to decline. That Schwab's chief fixed income strategist Kathy Jones.
spk_0 We turned out to our conversation with Sam Kang head of family office and premier wealth group.
spk_0 So you've got the interesting because you've got a small number of clients but a lot of assets I
spk_0 mean we're talking 100 clients and 200 billion dollars in assets under management talk about
spk_0 these relationships because are you working directly with the ultra high net worth individuals
spk_0 or are their family offices serving as a conduit to you. Yeah well we work with both so
spk_0 updated numbers we were actually now at about 140 relationships we've now grown to 260 billion
spk_0 just within the family office. Wow 30% growth just this year. Wow in terms of assets we've grown
spk_0 by 50% year over year so there is a huge demand to your question we work directly with single family
spk_0 offices as well as a professor who managed multi-family offices. What is the definition right now
spk_0 of a high net worth individual. Yeah so typically there's a wide range but typically what we see
spk_0 is 20 million in investment assets which really is about 30 million in net worth. You know is it
spk_0 often the case of just managing everything and anything and then the past of that generational
spk_0 wealth. I give us an idea of what this all entails because it's a lot of moving pieces of
spk_0 be it correct. Absolutely it's a lot of moving pieces it is beyond just financial planning and
spk_0 investments it gets into reporting but it goes far beyond that it gets into family dynamics family
spk_0 constitutions philanthropy that you just spoke about is a key factor in terms of that the state
spk_0 planning. You also- You said family constitutions meaning what. So creating the core values of a family
spk_0 to identify how you want to spend that money down through and how you want to pass that wealth
spk_0 down to generation. So this is really critical especially with the wealth transfer that's happening.
spk_0 Las report roughly about a hundred twenty four trillion dollars will be changing hands over the
spk_0 next two to three decades that's roughly about two to three trillion per year for the next decade or
spk_0 so. So what we see is a huge demand especially in the ultra high net worth to create these
spk_0 family constitutions so that they have a plan of how they will pass on the wealth. You know it's
spk_0 fascinating because we always I think when we talked about the passing on of generational wealth we
spk_0 talked about like you're offspring right your kids basically but we've also had a lot of conversations
spk_0 about the wealth going- Your kids' ex spouse is depending on the cleanup of the living
spk_0 that's a lot of throughout anyway go ahead. Make them tight. Yeah. No but passing on to women who
spk_0 tend to live longer and maybe their spouse their husband dies but so talk to us about the specifics
spk_0 is a lot of it big families lots of family members is a lot of it thinking about maybe the husband
spk_0 passing it off to the white like give us an idea of what. Yeah so first of all typically people just
spk_0 think it's passing down to the second third generation what's going to happen first is the
spk_0 immediate passing down to the spouse so as you're saying roughly about forty five percent of that
spk_0 wealth is going to go to that spouse first right and then it'll get into the second third
spk_0 generation so there's multiple families that will be involved in this conversation. We also see
spk_0 you know when we think about the transfer of wealth there is a lot of conversations about how
spk_0 you create the overall plan in terms of not just the investments how you think about that investment
spk_0 is over two to three decades but what you want to do with that money and do you want to use it
spk_0 for philanthropy do you want to create other businesses so there's a lot of conversations along that
spk_0 okay let's cut to the chase here death divorce taxes those are the things that are you know
spk_0 those are the things that are like on the red are a family office as we know that but I'm also
spk_0 heard stories of like all right we need the head of our family office to find a new yacht captain
spk_0 right now our yacht is in Bermuda what's the craziest story there are people who do that oh yeah
spk_0 yeah so so what's that that that is that that isn't an actual example we've heard stories where
spk_0 a family fired their entire crew one day they come to the family office and they say I need a new
spk_0 crew by tomorrow so this is the key distinction there are a lot of independent RIAs that want to get
spk_0 into the family office space what it really is it's that very first call that these families make
spk_0 so you not only need to be there for their financial planning their investments but you really need
spk_0 to be thorough about all the capabilities that you need to to be able to support a whole family
spk_0 so who are the people support that do that so we're talking lawyers like give us an idea of who
spk_0 has to be all involved in that yeah so at the center think of it as a hubbiz book model right so
spk_0 if the center is that trusted advisor we call that more of that expert generalist that person
spk_0 then would reach out to lawyers it's state planners it could be aviation loans it could be
spk_0 bill pay lifestyle cost-year services health care cost-year so it really goes the complete spectrum
spk_0 hey last question our team reporting that at least a fifth of the world's 500 richest people now
spk_0 have a family office helping for certain fortunes totaling more than four trillion dollars that's
spk_0 according to the Bloomberg billionaires index that was surprising to me why don't they all have
spk_0 family offices only a fifth of them do well I think there's more and more interest in creating
spk_0 that family office so along that lines it's estimated that 17 trillion is within that ultra-high
spk_0 network market but only about five to six trillion is managed by a family office so I do think
spk_0 that there is a growing trend for these services that Sam Kang Schwab's head of family office and
spk_0 premier wealth group that does it for this hour of the special edition of Bloomberg Business Week
spk_0 looking at some of our favorite conversations from Schwab impact 2025 in Denver Colorado we're not
spk_0 done yet still to come more on markets for Schwab's head of macro research and strategy we're talking
spk_0 about Kevin Gordon plus Fred Knor managing director of relationship management for D.A.F. giving
spk_0 360 will discuss the growth of charitable giving and use of donor advised funds you're listening to
spk_0 Bloomberg Business Week I'm Tim Stenebeck and I'm Carol Maser stay with us today's top
spk_0 stories and global business headlines are coming up right now in our new podcast everybody's business
spk_0 we talk about the business news that concerns everybody from Bloomberg Business Week I'm Stacy
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spk_0 all the streets WrestleMania has taken over the US economy poetry that executives write on LinkedIn
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spk_0 this is Bloomberg Business Week Daily reporting from the magazine that helps global leaders stay
spk_0 ahead with insight on the people companies and trends shaping today's complex economy plus
spk_0 global business finance and tech news as it happens Bloomberg Business Week Daily with Carol Maser
spk_0 and Tim Stenebeck on Bloomberg Radio we're back on a special edition of Bloomberg Business Week it's
spk_0 all about some of our conversations from the Schwab Impact 2025 event held this past week in Denver
spk_0 Colorado now this event held every year is all about bringing together registered investment
spk_0 advisors financial advisors from across the United States and those in the industry that support
spk_0 them with services and tools we begin with our conversation this hour wish Schwab's head of macro
spk_0 research and strategy Kevin Gordon there's kind of this internal turmoil right now in terms of
spk_0 the environment is it inflation we have to worry about we saw that companies announced the most
spk_0 job cuts for any October and worth it two decades this from Challenger Gray and Chris Christmas and
spk_0 they did talk about an AI component to it I can't figure out where we are what do you think you're always
spk_0 it's like the flavor changes almost literally every day I mean it was much more labor driven you had
spk_0 the challenger data you mentioned but you also had data from Reveleo Labs which has become
spk_0 you know much more important to look at in terms of private sector providers and what they what
spk_0 they're looking at for for job growth and the what they showed for October was the decline of
spk_0 9000 for payrolls but you know for me the labor market stuff is almost as hall of mirrors because
spk_0 all of the different indicators tell you completely different things as to what's going on
spk_0 in the labor market if you look at claims data which we're not getting at the national level right but
spk_0 if you aggregate everything at the state level it still looks relatively healthy it's state
spk_0 relatively low and stable if you look at ADP for October up surprise to the upside if you look at
spk_0 something like Reveleo though week if you look at something like challenger also week the
spk_0 interesting thing with challenger is and we always try to make this you know important distinction
spk_0 and emphasis for investors they're layoff announcements they're not exactly cuts themselves so
spk_0 there is a little bit of a lag there and tells you what you can expect yeah oftentimes 90 days right
spk_0 plus I think the one thing that is I I will say maybe a little bit more worrisome with the one
spk_0 for October relative to what we saw earlier this year because it was a huge pickup and
spk_0 challenger job cut announcements earlier this year but most of that was at the federal level that
spk_0 was focused on what everything was going on regarding those those ones a little bit more broad
spk_0 bases you mentioned with the AI overlay the concentration for the sectors was mostly in tech and
spk_0 warehousing so clearly this cost cutting going on by companies yeah which is never a good feeling
spk_0 no and I think what's what's been interesting so far it's been relatively methodical where it's
spk_0 gone sector by sector it hasn't been broad base across the economy which I know I've talked about
spk_0 this with you guys a lot and LaZanne you know who I work with closely on this are the sort of this
spk_0 concept and thesis of rolling recessions in the economy you're still experiencing that to some
spk_0 extent where it's not filtering up to the to the surface and it's not aggregating together to give
spk_0 you a full blown traditional recession but it's still happening at pockets we know as LaZanne
spk_0 we all call her LaZanne Saunders too that's the LaZanne you're referring to so Kevin um corporate
spk_0 uh going from the corporate world and thinking about okay what are companies doing with employees
spk_0 how are they hiring how are they firing how are they announcing this to consumer spending because
spk_0 the consumer powers this economy yeah we're getting some troubling anecdotes what do you see
spk_0 you know what's interesting is that when you look at I mean this is where the labor market so crucial
spk_0 to understand the differences between the stock and the flow so the stock of labor is still
spk_0 relatively healthy I mean you look at a mostly fully employed America and that's where we're at
spk_0 any of the layoff activity we've seen is just at the margin relatively minimal so if you see
spk_0 relatively low layoffs despite a very low hiring rate which were basically at cycle lows the fact
spk_0 that the stock of labor is strong means that the aggregate income growth month to month assuming
spk_0 you stay employed is relatively strong so that's why real spending is still positive um but to your
spk_0 point about some of these anecdotes and some of these cracks under the surface they are starting to
spk_0 widen a little bit more especially if you look at that bottom half of the what everybody calls now
spk_0 the k-shaped sort of economy um how do economists look at that bottom wrong you could break it down
spk_0 by wealth level I like the Fed data and looking at sort of percentile levels of what
spk_0 types of like overall economic growth and what the Fed like how do you think about this is the
spk_0 tough part because you know there's a social answer and then there's like well the multiplier
spk_0 effect up the wealth in the income spectrum is just much stronger that's just the math and when
spk_0 you look at how well asset markets have done over the past couple of years even this year the
spk_0 bounce from the April lows if you're benefiting from that as an asset owner we have household
spk_0 exposure to equities at an all-time high beyond where we were just slightly but still beyond where
spk_0 we were at them at the peak in 2000 so the wealth effect and the power of the market in terms of
spk_0 an economic driver has become quite strong and quite potent so I think when you add that together
spk_0 with what is traditionally an economy that has become more or I shouldn't say traditionally but
spk_0 over time has become more powered by that wealthy cohort then you've got a pretty strong effect
spk_0 when you say full employment do you how do you define that and how does the Fed define that because
spk_0 relatively low unemployment rate okay to history compared to history there has been a little bit of
spk_0 uptick but you look at that and you look at overall payrolls and we're still right around you know
spk_0 all-time high but does it mean the person who's who's has the computer science undergraduate degree
spk_0 yeah is working in computer science or working at Chipotle oh yeah exactly fully that's the question
spk_0 I have just sort of in nominal terms looking at it face value a job being a job whether that job
spk_0 is perfectly matched with what the person is doing that's a little bit of a story that well
spk_0 that doesn't that that seems like a concern right now well then I think is going to show up probably
spk_0 start to show up a lot more within the next year in a lot of the labor flows that we're going to
spk_0 get because one of the you know one of the longer term concerns I have for the labor market is
spk_0 what's happening right now in some of the churn with the pretty significant decline in immigration
spk_0 but also not sort of the lack of a place on a lot of a lot of those jobs we're just not seeing
spk_0 that happen and you see that happening in you know youth unemployment black unemployment it's
spk_0 really starting to spread in some of those pockets so the areas that were supposed to benefit you
spk_0 know throughout this year as you had more of a domestic strengthening in the in the
spk_0 native born labor force it's not yet happening so it's a little bit lagged I hope it's delayed
spk_0 and not completely derailed but I think in the next year figuring out replacements for a lot of
spk_0 those lost jobs that's going to be key and the reason I brought up the Chipotle computer science
spk_0 exact stuff well always hungry but that was what's decided in the New York Times article about in
spk_0 August no computer science degrees having trouble finding those computer science jobs it's kind
spk_0 of this interesting environment we are when we look at the labor force hey one of the things I
spk_0 wanted to ask you your team shared with us that you believe Tina is back and it's not the Tina
spk_0 that we think about there is no alternative in terms of like us but it's something we started
spk_0 off with about us government data it is important there's no alternative I mean the depth of the
spk_0 breadth of the government that you just can't match it and I think you know so far thank goodness
spk_0 with the markets have been sort of maybe a maybe in a negative way whistling sort of past the
spk_0 graveyard of no government data but you know they've been able to manage through with corporate
spk_0 earnings I think that's been a nice bridge to get us to when the shutdown ends I think though
spk_0 you know the longer this goes on I think what we have to keep in mind and what we've really been
spk_0 emphasizing to our clients is that you know when you don't collect this data yes you can go back
spk_0 and retro retroactively get it but it's not going to be clean so you're going basically almost a quarter
spk_0 without this really key data so you're going to have a delayed third quarter GDP report you're
spk_0 going to have missing data in a way for the fourth quarter and then you have benchmark revisions
spk_0 coming in February which kind of throws another wrench into this that's Kevin Gordon Schwab's head
spk_0 of macro research and strategy on site at Schwab Impact 2025 we turned out to our conversation with
spk_0 Schwab's Lisa Salvy head of business consulting and education we held a Bloomberg AI finance summit
spk_0 it was just last month we asked attendees in financial services which area do you believe
spk_0 a gentick AI holds the greatest potential to impact and of course the gentick AI we're talking
spk_0 about AI systems like can autonomously and maybe senseless scary but autonomously plan and execute
spk_0 multi-step tasks with minimal human oversight yes that's a definition but I know I know take
spk_0 over my world I'm ready for it so here's what the folks at that summit said the findings 62%
spk_0 Tim said the greatest potential would be an automating repetitive complex tasks and workflows
spk_0 23% said generating alpha through faster deeper insights 11% supporting strategic decision-making
spk_0 across the enterprise and then 4% curl personalizing client experiences at scale all right so let's
spk_0 see what our next guest has to say she worked with independent advisors and their firms Lisa Salvy's
spk_0 head of business consulting and education at Schwab advisor services what did you think about those
spk_0 results they're interesting to me I lead a benchmarking study here for R.A. specifically it's
spk_0 like industry leading amount of data we had about 1300 firms participate this year 68% of our
spk_0 firms are using AI in some form 2025 obviously that was the year of the note taker right so that's
spk_0 kind of the story I think it's unlike a basic level they're using it um it depends so basic is
spk_0 just not taking right and then now we're seeing more integration into the CRM system so we're
spk_0 starting to see that and it's starting to populate tasks and next steps so a lot of firms are
spk_0 saying that saving them 30 minutes per client meeting so that's a real ROI we're seeing which you
spk_0 don't always see with AI all the time up to you know I had one firm last week tell me two and a half
spk_0 hours of time savings so that's kind of the year what we've seen this year I think next year is
spk_0 going to be more of a two pillar type of year where you're going to see a lot of bottoms up type of
spk_0 um projects and and kind of citizen programming with the AI tools that are available within firms
spk_0 but we're also going to start to see looking at larger-scale projects that can actually build a
spk_0 transformative change or time savings in the organization that will be approached more like a project
spk_0 agentech agents and agentech that's kind of we're just stepping into that so you're
spk_0 starting to play with that some firms have it yeah it's still very rare um I think what I would
spk_0 like to see firms do is really start to focus on well two things the boring one the data you've got
spk_0 to get that data really good because AI doesn't fix bad data it just amplifies it oh we know
spk_0 yeah I know what about the um finding alpha part of this because that's that's the
spk_0 surprise that's interesting I don't hear that very much from registered investment advisors I don't
spk_0 hear as much on the investment side I hear it more on reading research reports giving them something
spk_0 to react to and on the portfolio management side I will say one advisor came up to us and was
spk_0 talking about actually something I had done at a different event where somebody showed a demo
spk_0 and then got into like AI in a big way and said it did a lot of things like computations different
spk_0 things tasks and it he was able to create better performance for his investors because it just
spk_0 happened quicker and there are things he wouldn't normally maybe do or spend the time on because
spk_0 you just couldn't and that he did and then yeah it did create it's interesting it's where are you
spk_0 comfortable so yeah a lot of advisors are not wanting it to hit the client yet yeah so that's
spk_0 where that's going to be where we see some progression but if you can create really comprehensive
spk_0 plans and advisors need to be prepared to their clients are going to start doing it and come in with
spk_0 something and that they're going to have to react to when do you think we start talking about AI
spk_0 we don't talk about the internet today the idea that it's just this layer of technology that we're
spk_0 all using I think I think it's still changing so rapidly we're still seeing so many changes that
spk_0 we're going to be talking about it for a little while especially as we get to that adentic layer so
spk_0 first we're going to have projects then we're going to have agents that just do things like one
spk_0 off tasks like read a research report on its own an email at you without you asking it to do it
spk_0 then we get to what you guys were talking about at the beginning the adentic layer we have the
spk_0 whole bunch of these like bots that are doing things on their own and making decisions we have a
spk_0 ways to go that Schwab's Lisa Salvi head of business consulting and education coming up more
spk_0 from our conversations at the Schwab Impact 2025 event in Denver Colorado up next we hear from Omar
spk_0 Aguilar he is the CEO of Schwab Asset Management that's next this is Bloomberg
spk_0 I'm Alex Rodriguez and I'm Jason Kelly and we're back with more episodes of our show The Deal
spk_0 we've got behind the scenes conversations with sports greatest business people and athletes
spk_0 from Serena Williams and Stephen A Smith to Bill Belichick and Melody Hobson
spk_0 I got dangerous in seeing up arrows up arrows catch up on the interviews you've missed and listen
spk_0 to all new episodes every Thursday on Apple podcast Spotify YouTube or wherever you get your podcasts
spk_0 this is Bloomberg Business Week daily with Carol Masser and Tim Steneveck on Bloomberg Radio
spk_0 back here on Bloomberg Business Week daily looking at some of our favorite conversations and
spk_0 highlights from the Schwab Impact 2025 event it was held Tim this past week of course in Denver
spk_0 Colorado it was a little chilly out there what was yeah it's Colorado I know I know it's the
spk_0 foothills of the Rockies so that's true yeah 300 days of sunshine a year though so that's not bad
spk_0 no it was nice to be out west we turn now to our conversation with Omar Aguilar CEO of Schwab Asset
spk_0 Management well let's talk about this year because as we were chatting ahead of this interview you
spk_0 made you made the joke I wish we could just end the year right here because it's been a good year
spk_0 it's been a good year but what is that portant for the next you know two months it's been great for
spk_0 investors it's been great for investors you actually see it is I would probably say there were
spk_0 many points throughout the year where we always things were actually going to be different and
spk_0 I don't think anybody anticipated you know that we're going to be at this stage you know so far into
spk_0 this year you know from the beginning of the year the uncertainty around administration to
spk_0 liberation day to recovery to you know the rise of AI to the economy the consumer all the way to
spk_0 where we are now it's such it's such to be in a ride that I think investors have taken advantage of
spk_0 you know I was thinking about your background and I just want to lay that what you've got 25 years
spk_0 of investment management experience in equity markets you've seen a lot of cycles and I know I
spk_0 think I often reach out to you guys to ask you about this what do you make of some of the recent
spk_0 stress that we've seen no more whether it was concerns about credit some of the regional bank
spk_0 issues again we've heard different stories about whether or not credit concerns or something that
spk_0 might linger for a little bit then there's the private you know credit market so how do you see it
spk_0 and do you see it at all impacting kind of the tone of trading activity on your platforms yes it
spk_0 it is it is interesting because yes I have seen a lot of I have to so we're just like a good bottle
spk_0 why you know my my gray hairs you know take you know I'm take a pride of it but uh but yes you know
spk_0 it is interesting because you know what we what I have seen historically is you actually go to
spk_0 the source of what is actually maybe the reason why something cracks there will always be in every
spk_0 single cycle you know areas of rest that are what we call ideal syncatic that's just a fancy word
spk_0 but you know what that means is that there will always going to be things that will happen
spk_0 that will make people nervous and which is need to understand whether it's systemic or it's just
spk_0 isolated to certain area interesting enough you mentioned about you know the the particular
spk_0 the credit market you know the credit market has been incredibly resilient since 2008 and I think
spk_0 when you look at the current even the high yield market you know there's now is not as junky as
spk_0 you used to be you know I remember back in you know 2005 2006 or 2001 and 2002 those were periods
spk_0 where you will really feel that there was a lot of the linkages there was a lot of rest there was
spk_0 a lot of uncertainty around them when you look at it today you know the the linkages are growing
spk_0 right but not outside of the norm but you will have it this part of the cycle why do you think that's
spk_0 not happening well a lot of that has to do with corporate corporate America you know their balance
spk_0 sheets are fairly fairly strong and the amount of leverage that you see in corporate America has
spk_0 is basically to the lowest in many decades so what that actually means is that yes companies that
spk_0 are taking excess leverage to step risk and they're more risky with the way they manage their
spk_0 business you know they're clearly a more at the risk end but the majority of America it's
spk_0 actually pretty solid in terms of how they manage the balance sheets and in fact a lot of the
spk_0 reasons we were talking about you know in other forums about the reasons why tires have not been
spk_0 having the impact as big as it has been is because profit margins have been very very benign and
spk_0 not been affected as much so does that mean that it's only a matter of time before we actually see
spk_0 inflation as a result of these tariffs when these companies say we're not going to we're not
spk_0 going to pad the impact anymore with our with our healthy profit margins we're ready to pass these on
spk_0 well we're already seeing some of that we're already seeing two things one is we're ready seeing
spk_0 companies that are they're not going to have a choice but actually pass through those increasing
spk_0 prices to the consumers you know we have seen those companies that have the biggest you know
spk_0 opportunities and the biggest why does margins they're they're ready good but they're once they're
spk_0 gaining a squeeze and a squeeze we already see some of that already in the early parts of this
spk_0 earnings season the so the second part that we're observing is consumption you know consumers
spk_0 and the demand destruction started to happen you're starting to see a little bit in terms of like
spk_0 you know airlines and the tickets and you know you see that actually on my way here for the first
spk_0 time the plane was not full that that was unique because you know for the entire year you know
spk_0 you always go there and it's actually big big chunk of it so you can see a little bit of that
spk_0 consumption starting to just get affected by it this happened to us last month on our way back
spk_0 from Los Angeles the person at the gate said this is crazy it's been full pretty much until now
spk_0 the flight was empty heading back yeah again it's an anecdote yeah but hearing it from airlines yet
spk_0 but but airlines have been so smart about keeping those planes packed right and so to me it seems
spk_0 a clear indicator I know I said you've seen a lot of cycles but I but I think about your background
spk_0 Lehman Brothers Merrill Lynch these are firms that are no longer around you know post GFC the great
spk_0 financial crisis so I guess I always try to think you know what are we missing in an environment
spk_0 where so many people are like it's okay it's okay it's okay and I'm like what what are the
spk_0 possible risks do you think for investors in this environment well we we have seen
spk_0 and actually we saw this in the last six weeks if you if you look at the performance of those
spk_0 companies that did not that do not have positive earnings negative earnings companies in small
spk_0 and mid cap sectors they outperformed by almost 20% in a short period of time so what is called
spk_0 the junk wrap and in many cases the concern is that this component of excess goes into areas that
spk_0 goes like that and that volatility is not helping oh Mark thank you always always appreciated
spk_0 Omar Aguilar he's CEO and CIO of Schwab asset management all right so let's share some numbers
spk_0 with you check this out 16,000 independent advisory firms five trillion ten in assets
spk_0 under management that's the business that john v 80 overseas he's managing director and head of
spk_0 Schwab advisor of services he joined the Sunside here Schwab impact 2025 in Denver Colorado
spk_0 john you've been at Schwab for close to 30 years let's say 28 just so okay myself okay so it's
spk_0 a great run 28 28 years you've been a member of the advisor services team for 16 years
spk_0 it's correct an RAA today versus what it was 16 years ago they want different things well it's
spk_0 amazing when I first joined Schwab 28 years ago in the advisor business we custody to $100
spk_0 billion for assets now it's five trillion dollars so that just gives you what where is that in
spk_0 market share so advisor services Charles Schwab has about a 44% market share of independent advisors
spk_0 doubled the nearest competitors so we were first to the space back then almost 38 years ago
spk_0 and have really focused in on it and made it main priority here at Schwab and we've been rewarded
spk_0 by our clients with their growth you know my inlaws are we're talking about their financial advisor
spk_0 and I was telling about this conference that I was coming to and they said we had a choice when
spk_0 we signed up with this financial advisor who we wanted as a custodian we could choose Schwab
spk_0 we could choose another company is that that that was surprising they didn't know that RIAs have
spk_0 relationships with different custodians yes RIA industry is the industry of independent advisors
spk_0 and independence means that they have choice is who their providers are whether that's custodian
spk_0 or asset management fintech providers in their back office I think that is actually the secret
spk_0 sauce in the RIA space in that everybody has to be at their best every day to maintain their seat
spk_0 at the table whether it's us as a custodian against our competitors or a fintech provider in the
spk_0 back office an asset manager so everybody's at their best that means consumers are getting a great
spk_0 experience keeps everybody lean and mean yeah and competitive so what do you investment advisors
spk_0 really need from you guys today so really the where the hallmark is or the foundation and
spk_0 relationship is our custody experience which means opening accounts moving money doing trades
spk_0 the basics that that advisors want to be brilliant in how they serve their clients so it's easy
spk_0 secure what easy secure accurate all of those things that matters important and last thing an
spk_0 advisor wants to do is is have their custodian or any of their providers embarrass them in front of
spk_0 their clients so right so we have to be at a 99% accuracy rate and everything what we do for
spk_0 advisors and that's why we're winning in the marketplaces those brilliant experiences that we
spk_0 provide what's the toughest thing in making sure that you guys are hitting on all those things the
spk_0 accuracy the security all of it yeah it's really the move from paper to digital yeah and that's
spk_0 a that's a change management thing in our industry so we've made great progress in the last five
spk_0 years on that now for example moving money wires ACH transactions were 93% ACH it's the ability
spk_0 to move money overnight without a wire got it yeah it's an industry acronym sorry about that
spk_0 down but we're at 93% rate there were just five years ago that was less than 50% so what what
spk_0 what digital brings is it brings faster more accurate less errors in the ecosystem new accounts
spk_0 you know we're opening on a digital platform at about a 50 60% rate we'd love to get that in the 80
spk_0 to 90s so that means modern experiences for the investor as well as the advisor I was talking
spk_0 to one of the independent advisors before our program started and he was telling me he's like okay
spk_0 I've got this whole machine that runs Linux that just runs my Bloomberg terminal separate machine
spk_0 separate keyboard then I've got my other two monitors so two monitors over there then I've got
spk_0 my other two monitors with basically the Schwab dashboard and everything that that Schwab offers
spk_0 that I can then offer to clients what is that oh it's what is that tool what is that dashboard so our
spk_0 our website is the place where we serve advisors digitally Schwab advisor center.com in that tool
spk_0 you'll find all the logistics of custody moving money opening accounts we have trading capabilities
spk_0 on that website and a lot of other features that advisors can dig in you know the industry has
spk_0 changed over over the years and now we have our iRebell capability which is a is a automated
spk_0 rebalancing tool we have model market center where advisors can tap into pre-built portfolios
spk_0 so advisors are really looking to outsource some of the things that you used to do in house
spk_0 so that they can use their time in other ways with investors around planning a state
spk_0 tax those those value added places how much how much in terms of advisors from what you guys
spk_0 are seeing how much are they doing like face-to-face or phone calls or actual conversations versus
spk_0 so much that they can do either digitally like i'm just curious if what that makes is well it has
spk_0 to be a combination because if they want a free uptime to do yes yes and and there's nothing that
spk_0 replaces being in person with your client and we had Kessily talking about the need for social
spk_0 interaction so what really advisors trying to to bring is a recipe of digital experiences that take
spk_0 the less value activities moving money and transactional work so that they can use their
spk_0 in-time person with clients on more of the intellectual psychological aspects of investing
spk_0 AI very briefly yes can it be really important as we go forward not yet
spk_0 well we see advisors about 50% of advisors are already using AI enabled tools in their back
spk_0 office these are things like recording meetings with clients and taking notes we see them using
spk_0 tools to read contracts and give summaries and so it's it's basic AI but it's the beginning and
spk_0 you know this is an entrepreneurial community and so they're leaning into these types of services
spk_0 how much back and forth is there with advisors and you guys about what we need in in terms of AI
spk_0 it's about our ecosystem we want to enable them on the custody side and then they need to
spk_0 AI enable their experience with their clients related to the portfolio and other aspects so
spk_0 it's going to play a big role in this industry as we go forward John thanks so much for joining us
spk_0 they're a jackpot that's like hey Chuck how do I do this yeah we have a knowledge center tool
spk_0 that it that our service reps use that is AI enabled that makes us smarter on the phones with
spk_0 advisors we'll turn that on to advisors at some point okay not yet once the learning is done right
spk_0 all right John baby thank you so much really appreciate it uh manager director head of advisor
spk_0 services at Swab coming up more from our conversations at the Swab Impact 2025 event in Denver
spk_0 Colorado coming up Fred K nor managing director of relationship management for
spk_0 Daff giving 360 talking about the growth of charitable giving and the use of donor advised funds
spk_0 that's coming up next this is from the park
spk_0 I'm Alex Rodriguez and I'm Jason Kelly and we're back with more episodes of our show the deal
spk_0 we've got behind the scenes conversations with sports greatest business people and athletes
spk_0 from Serena Williams and Stephen A Smith to Bill Bella check and Melody Hobson I got
spk_0 dangerous in seeing up arrows up arrows catch up on the interviews you've missed and listen to
spk_0 all new episodes every Thursday on Apple podcast Spotify YouTube or wherever you get your podcast
spk_0 this is Bloomberg Business Week daily with Carol Masser and Tim Steneveck on Bloomberg Radio
spk_0 we're back here on Bloomberg Business Week looking at some of our favorite conversations it was all
spk_0 happening at Swab Impact 2025 the event held in Denver Colorado this past week we turn now to our
spk_0 conversation with Fred K nor managing director of relationship management for Daff giving 360
spk_0 we talked about a lot specifically the growth of charitable giving and the use of so-called donor
spk_0 advised funds a donor advised fund is essentially a count set up to facilitate charitable giving
spk_0 a donor advised fund is comprised of three different components contribute invest and grant so
spk_0 a donor with the support of its advisor his advisor her advisor contributes cash securities
spk_0 appreciated assets including real estate collectibles private business interests and alike
spk_0 we accept those contributions we liquidate them if they're appreciated assets we deposit them into
spk_0 the account they invest those assets for growth while they're in the account and then when they're
spk_0 ready to grant them to the charity of choice they can do so in a matter of a couple of days and the
spk_0 beauty of the account is from a contributions perspective it affords the donor and immediate
spk_0 fair market value tax deduction at the time that the contribution is made and they potentially
spk_0 avoid capital gains tax that they would otherwise pay if they were to sell those assets first and
spk_0 donate the proceeds into the account thereafter should everybody be considering donor advised funds
spk_0 or do you need to have a certain level of wealth for it to make sense yes really don't really yes
spk_0 i mean now it's a good question a lot of people think that you know a donor advised fund account
spk_0 is set up for the ultra high net worth and the ultra wealthy and the answer is no it's not there's
spk_0 no minimum to open an account you can have an account within fact a zero balance many people open
spk_0 an account for test of entry purposes they they will fund it upon their passing to fulfill their
spk_0 charitable legacy when you're young you don't necessarily have a lot of assets to give to charity
spk_0 so you don't have to give five thousand ten thousand to open an account you can open it with a
spk_0 zero balance and you can fund it over time when you have the assets ready to give but why open
spk_0 it early if you don't really have anything to contribute to it it's a great question and they do
spk_0 it for a variety of different reasons like i said one is when it's used for test of an
spk_0 entry purposes when a person is planning their legacy when they're planning sort of their they're
spk_0 trying to think about what they want their legacy charitable legacy to be beyond their lifetime
spk_0 they would fund upon their passing the donor advised fund account would be named as a bit of
spk_0 fishery of their trust or their state and the an amount would be put into that with the understanding
spk_0 of exactly how and where they want that be distributed to charities of choice so that's what i want
spk_0 to talk about is control here how much control does the person who put the assets in there who had
spk_0 the assets who do it the assets have where those assets go or where that money goes that's that's
spk_0 a great question so so technically when the assets are put into the donor advised fund account
spk_0 they relinquish control of those assets because those assets we are as you said at the beginning we
spk_0 are a five o one c three nonprofit they are effectively making a contribution to a non-profit
spk_0 organization and at that time they relinquish the control of those assets however they are the ones
spk_0 that recommend the investment strategy when the assets are in the account because we want to make
spk_0 sure that they're invested in a manner that's consistent with their personal goals and objectives
spk_0 and they recommend grants when they choose to have grants go to the charities that you
spk_0 should support so in other words it's not them making the grant they are recommending to us as the
spk_0 if you will owners of those assets where they want those grants to be made and how and so while
spk_0 they reliquish the control for a variety of reasons when they actually make the contribution
spk_0 they make the recommendations on how to invest and where and they make the recommendations on
spk_0 where to grant them when so two questions where do they where are folks often saying here's where we
spk_0 want those assets invested and then where are they saying they want to donate that's a great question
spk_0 and and there are a number of different investment options and it really is up to ultimately the donor
spk_0 and the advisor supporting the donor on how they choose to balance their portfolio in terms of
spk_0 an investment strategy many of them because I wonder if it's about growth or it's just about
spk_0 maintaining the principle or a little bit of both yes it's both it mostly it's both people want to
spk_0 do a variety of different things they want to maintain the balance they want to grow it over time
spk_0 and an interesting statistic is we have seen almost four billion dollars in growth in incremental
spk_0 growth as a result of utilizing a very effective and prudent investment approach while the assets
spk_0 are in the account so above and beyond what they've contributed as a result of you know really effective
spk_0 and thoughtful investment of those assets we've seen about four billion additional dollars
spk_0 ultimately made available to go to charities so I interrupted you so where are folks investing
spk_0 then where are they donated so they're investing in a variety of ways some people want to invest
spk_0 around impact investing for example they want to do things with SRI ESG actually that's even growing
spk_0 impact is an evolving term and it means different things to different people but yeah
spk_0 that's a that's a big thing others are investing in sort of much more conservative investment
spk_0 options where they're much more part more focused on maintaining the balance and making sure that
spk_0 you know it's not subject to the same investment volatility as others so it it really the answer to
spk_0 question is that they're investing in in whatever way they feel most comfortable investing those
spk_0 assets if it's for impact and that impact has you know a social return is in addition to financial
spk_0 return and in other cases it's just really maintaining the balance making sure that they have those
spk_0 assets there to be able to grant a charity whenever they choose and then ultimately where does that
spk_0 money go so yeah so then the third component is granting so we we allow grants to any organization
spk_0 that is a 501c3 nonprofit and good scanning with the IRS our database we rely on the IRS database
spk_0 that is about two million strong right now so really it's it's it's up to and and then it's in
spk_0 the flexibility of solution it goes to wherever they choose to support it it could be their house of
spk_0 worship it could be their alma mater it could be providing grants to disaster relief organizations when
spk_0 philoxica or in texas or fires occur in in california so it's really incredibly flexible in terms
spk_0 of where and how they grant any place that they cannot donate just real quickly it's not really
spk_0 there the the as long as it's a 501c3 a nonprofit organization and good standing with the IRS
spk_0 generally speaking those that we we fulfill those grant recommendations all right so appreciate
spk_0 this is really fun for thank you so much thank you guys very much for the time he is managing
spk_0 director relationship management for dapf giving 316 independent 501c3 public charity
spk_0 fully known a swap chart Tim and I here at Schwab impact 2025 now you might recall
spk_0 over the summer it was in august president trump signing an executive order directing the
spk_0 labor department to reevaluate guidance to fiduciaries to get them more comfortable with including
spk_0 private credit digital assets and other alternative assets in their retirement plans now the ssc
spk_0 mail so issues new rules or guides to change the definition of a credited investor or qualified
spk_0 there's a lot going on that could open up a lot of different types of assets to be told investors
spk_0 it's something that we've gotten into with the Schwab CEO and kind of on pause right now at least at
spk_0 the ssc level because of the government shutdown yes but still this seems to be the direction
spk_0 of things are moving all right we've a great guest to get into on all of this with some thoughts
spk_0 and here at denver endeavor at Schwab impact 2025 Kayla culver she's head of risk and controls for
spk_0 Schwab advisor services good to have you here there's a lot going on that could change or there's
spk_0 a lot that is going on that means we won't see changes how are you assessing kind of the regulatory
spk_0 environment things that could change what investors can be investing in so I feel like for advisors
spk_0 it's a lot of what flash right now when we look at the prior administration and ssc scc chair
spk_0 gensler there was constantly new rules coming out and it was just like regulation overload for people
spk_0 and now underpal actions we're expecting to see a reduced pace of regulation so we see it as a good
spk_0 opportunity for advisors to really focus on getting back to basics and making sure that their
spk_0 compliance programs are up to date that all of their advs are accurate what are advs um
spk_0 their disclosure documents that I have to file with the ssc really just making sure that like
spk_0 their house is in order so that because if we're not under a constant flood of new things coming out
spk_0 and then you know we heard you talking about the executive order related to 401ks and being able
spk_0 to hold alternatives different things in 401k accounts that's something that you know some
spk_0 advisors have interest in for their clients and it's going to really depend on the plan like
spk_0 there's the something that the plan chooses to allow for that client or you know for their
spk_0 plan participants or does the plan not want to allow that what direction do you see that moving
spk_0 in if it does get approved if it all if it happens if the ssc says okay this is totally fine
spk_0 is everyone going to be is it going to be like us having stocks and bonds in our
spk_0 I don't think it'll be for everybody I think that we see well will everybody at the option
spk_0 well it's going to be up to the plan administrator so who's ever sponsoring that plan third
spk_0 the fiduciary they've got the ability to say you're allowed to invest in x or you're allowed to
spk_0 invest in you know not allowed so would that be at the company level for for a certain company
spk_0 and its employees or would it be at the whoever they decide is the plan administrator like an
spk_0 empower for example it's really like the plan sponsor who's choosing that okay so why would a
spk_0 plan sponsor say no why would a plan sponsor say yes I think they would say yes if they wanted to
spk_0 give their participants additional choices some plan sponsors may say no you know we see it
spk_0 on the Schwab side where we've got some plan sponsors that have opted into our personal choice
spk_0 retirement account offering where you can basically have your 401k and self-directed invest in
spk_0 stocks and bonds and things that are outside of the the plan allocation it just really depends
spk_0 on their comfort level like from a conservative perspective you might say we want to stick more with
spk_0 you know these funds that we've chosen do you is it a good thing I think it's you know choice is
spk_0 always a good thing so more freedom of choice but as long as people are doing it smartly with
spk_0 you know with the advice of an investment advisor I think it's a smart decision but I think
spk_0 there's always additional risk there well the risks are right in terms of all the assets some
spk_0 things are not as liquid as others and you need to understand that if you need to be able to get
spk_0 out of something it's not liquid like stocks and bonds exactly in many ways and that's why I think
spk_0 doing things with the advice of a professional versus just you know your friend told you this was
spk_0 a good investment it makes more sense that way on the regulatory front and having advisors
spk_0 have less regulation right now just more fall on them in terms of making sure that they're doing
spk_0 what's right because those those regulations aren't necessarily in place and I know it's kind of
spk_0 a judgment for me to say you know a quite regulation with right that's not what I need to do but
spk_0 we know the we know the DNA that Paul Atkins has the SEC chair when it comes to this stuff and
spk_0 he's much more laissez faire than other SEC chairs in the past yeah so what what we keep reminding
spk_0 advisors of is just because there's you know all this noise about deregulation and less new
spk_0 regulations you still have to follow the fiduciary duty you still have you know they're still regulations
spk_0 on the books they're still rules you still have to do all the things and be making sure you're in
spk_0 the best interest of your client so just because it's a more like laissez faire kind of environment
spk_0 doesn't mean you still don't have principles that you have to adhere to that Schwab's Kayla Culver
spk_0 had a risk and controls over at Schwab advisor services and that does it for this special edition
spk_0 of Bloomberg Business Week featuring some of our conversations and the highlights from the Schwab
spk_0 impact 2025 from the Schwab impact 2025 event in Denver Colorado this past week for all of them be
spk_0 sure to check it out at Bloomberg dot com and wherever you get your podcasts hey and also be
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spk_0 new stands now at Bloomberg dot com and always always on the Bloomberg terminal I'm Carol Masser
spk_0 and I'm Tim Stenevek have a good and safe weekend everyone stay with us today's top stories and
spk_0 global business headlines are coming up right now
spk_0 I'm Alex Rodriguez and I'm Jason Kelly and we're back with more episodes of our show The Deal
spk_0 We've got behind the scenes conversations with sports greatest business people and athletes
spk_0 from Serena Williams and Stephen A Smith to Bill Belichick and Melody Hobson I got
spk_0 dangerous in seeing up arrows up arrows catch up on the interviews you've missed and listen to
spk_0 all new episodes every Thursday on Apple podcasts Spotify YouTube or wherever you get your podcasts